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Statistics
by Einstein13

Statistics and Probability will most likely decide a major shooting game because of cannon rolls. I have a chart on the average hits a ship will hit with that many masts and the cannon roll. Note that these are the statistics of what will hit NOT who will win (unless you compare two percentages).

Cannons  __  Cannon Number  ____  Hit Ratio

5  ______________  5  ______________  .83

5  ______________  4  ______________  1.66

5  ______________  3  ______________  2.5

5  ______________  2  ______________  3.33

4  ______________  5  ______________  .66

4  ______________  4  ______________  1.33

4  ______________  3  ______________  2

4  ______________  2  ______________  2.66

3  ______________  5  ______________  .5

3  ______________  4  ______________  1

3  ______________  3  ______________  1.5

3  ______________  2  ______________  2

2  ______________  5  ______________  .33

2  ______________  4  ______________  .66

2  ______________  3  ______________  1

2  ______________  2  ______________  1.33

1  ______________  5  ______________  .16

1  ______________  4  ______________  .33

1  ______________  3  ______________  .5

1  ______________  2  ______________  .66


Notice that if your ship has two 2 cannons and one 4, add the 2, 2 plus the 1, 4 1.33+ .33 = 1.66 Most of these answers will have a decimal on them. Say if it’s a 1.66, it is close to 1 and 2 (closer to 2 though). So it will usually hit twice or once. Remember that this data is just the average hits with that many cannons NOT exactly how many hits it will do. That’s what makes it an interesting game.

Remember to think ahead. That’s what this chart is for, to plan and say “Hey, this ship has a worse cannon rating against my opponent’s ship but my ship has more masts, has a better hit ratio, and in the long run will take out their masts then they do mine.” Math is a key point to winning this game.

If you have any questions about math or statistics in this game, fell free to contact me at I_M_Einstein13@yahoo.com

 that is why everyone calls me Einstein.

 


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