Subject: Barrel Dragon clearification - DoctaJay

I am tired of hearing how Barrel Dragon has a 2/3 (two in three, 67%) chance of destroying a 
monster, this is wrong.  Barrel Dragon has a 50% (one in two, ½), of destroying a monster or 
not destroying a monster, it that still isn’t enough proof I have written something that I 
hope is.

WINNING COMBOS
3Heads 0Tails
2Heads 1Tails

LOSING COMBOS
1Heads 2Tails
0Heads 3Tails

I have put all the types of throws you can have with Barrel Dragon.  You have a 25% (one in 
four, ¼) chance to throw any one of these combos.  I have separated the combos into winning 
combos (where Barrel Dragon’s effect goes through) and losing combos (where Barrel 
Dragon’s effect does not go through).  Notice there are two winning combos, so you 
would have a 25% + 25% chance of throwing one, in other words a 50% (one in two, ½), 
of getting to destroy a monster, not a 67% (one in three, 1/3) chance.  Also, you have the 
same odds of throwing a losing combo.  Further proof is that there is the same amount of 
winning and losing combos, hence you have the same chance (½) of winning of losing.  If the 
card said flip a coin once… you would have the same odds of winning or losing.
My email, is DoctaJay64@Eskimobob.com you can address me by DoctaJay.


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