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 Pojo's MTG 
					 |  | The Dragon's Den 
						More people are starting to play competitively again 
						with the banning of Ravager and his buddy (Disciple of 
						the Vault).  This is no surprise.  This is what
						
						
						
					
						
						
                          everyone 
						wanted (and expected) when the bannings were announced.  
						When attendance creeps up, I almost always get questions 
						regarding ratings.  What is your rating good for?  Is it 
						worth working on?  How do you get a higher rating?  
						Well, if you can follow along today, I'll tell you. 
						Before getting into details about what your rating does, 
						let me explain how it is calculated.  Here is the ELO 
						system and how it applies to Magic: the Gathering as 
						stated in the DCI Floor Rules: 
						The Elo player-rating system compares players' match 
						records against their opponents' match records and 
						determines the probability of the player winning the 
						matchup. This probability factor determines how many 
						points a players' rating goes up or down based on the 
						results of each match. When a player defeats an opponent 
						with a higher rating, the player's rating goes up more 
						than if he or she defeated a player with a lower rating 
						(since players should defeat opponents who have lower 
						ratings). All new players start out with a base rating 
						of 1600. The DCI uses the following equation to 
						determine a player's win probability in each match: 
						                                                        
						1 Win Probability = -------------------------------------------------------------- 10^((Opponent's Rating-Player's Rating)/400) + 1 
						This probability is then used to recalculate each 
						player's rating after the match. In the equation below, 
						players receive 1 point if they win the match, 0 if they 
						lose, and 0.5 for a draw. Players' new ratings are 
						determined as follows: 
						Player's New Rating = Player's Old Rating + (K-Value * 
						(Scoring Points-Player's Win Probability)) 
						For those not too good at math, let me explain what this 
						all means.  Your rating is going to up or down after 
						each match.  The number of points it rises or falls is 
						determined by two factors.  The first is your opponent's 
						rating.  If they are higher than you, you stand to gain 
						more points and risk losing as many.  On the flipside of 
						things, if your opponent's rating is lower, you stand to 
						gain less and risk losing more.  In theory, in a perfect 
						world, if everyone played up to (or down to) their 
						potential, as based on rating, this is the fairest 
						system there is.  The other thing that determines your 
						points is the K-value.  This number is set at the start 
						of the tournament.  This is anywhere from 8K to 48K.  
						There are various guidelines that determine each level. 
						Now we need to talk about what a rating can to for you.  
						Ultimately, what you can do with a rating is get byes or 
						invites in large events.  That's the goal.  For 
						instance, once your rating reached 1800 in the 
						appropriate format, you get a first round bye in Grand 
						Prix events with the matching format.  So, if you reach 
						1800 in constructed, you have earned a first round bye 
						in a constructed format Grand Prix.  If you have reached 
						1800 in limited, you have earned a first round bye in a 
						limited format Grand Prix event.  The next two major 
						plateaus for byes are 1900 (second round bye) and 2000 
						(third round bye). 
						People look at byes and want to shake their head.  When 
						you put things in perspective, these byes are huge.  
						Let's say the event you are attending has 400 players 
						(honestly most GP events have more).  If you get even a 
						first round bye, you will basically be starting one win 
						ahead of almost half the field (excluding others with 
						byes of course).  That saves you a lot of trouble.  I'm 
						sure you can see how the second and third round byes can 
						really effect your performance.  
					 
						But that aside, the real big deal is getting onto the 
						Pro Tour.  That's the big stage for Magic where the good 
						money is.  It's hard to get there.  And I'll tell anyone 
						that the hardest way to get there just might be to 
						qualify on rating.  To get to the Pro Tour on rating you 
						have to possess at least a 1950 rating.  If you aren't 
						that high, don't expect your name to appear on an invite 
						list any time soon.  After factoring all other invites, 
						the top rated players in the format corresponding to the 
						event in question get an invite.  This usually results 
						in the top 75-100 players in that format being invited 
						to the event.  So, I'm sure this easily explains the 
						level of competition at a Pro Tour event. 
						With all of that explained and out to rest, let's assume 
						that you never plan to play in any major event for 
						Magic.  I think everyone should at least attempt to if 
						they like competition. The prize money is great and I 
						have had lots of good experiences that have created many 
						memories at large tournaments.  However, large 
						tournaments and high competition may not be your thing.  
						If you aren't planning on playing in these large events, 
						does your rating still mean anything to you?  That's for 
						you to answer.  However, I think that it can mean a lot. 
						More than anything your rating proves consistency.  It 
						shows how you are doing on a long term basis.  I always 
						tell players not to check their rating every week.  We 
						know that your rating is going to go up or down a few 
						points with every update, assuming you play every week.  
						So you aren't going to learn much check weekly.  If you 
						look at your rating monthly, you will have a better 
						assessment of how well you are doing.  If you play every 
						week and your rating goes up 25 points over the course 
						of a month, that shows that you had consistently good 
						success over the course of the month.  Obviously, 
						reviewing over longer stretches yields event truer 
						results.  I take this a step further and post ratings 
						for the top 20 players locally in each format on a 
						bulletin board in my store.  It's fun.  It encourages 
						competitive play.  Players work to get ahead of each 
						other.  So, in addition to making the competitive 
						environment more fun, it helps people gauge their own 
						progress. 
						But, I have to tell you that you won't get your rating 
						up real high by ONLY playing in Friday Night Magic 
						tournaments.  Don't take this the wrong way.  I think 
						Friday Night Magic is the single best way to try out new 
						decks, ideas, and strategies in a competitive 
						environment.  I remember driving to stores to play on 
						Friday nights before big Saturday events.  This was long 
						before the term "Friday Night Magic" was even being 
						used.  The thing is, you can't work your rating up real 
						high playing in just those events.  Remember that whole 
						ELO thing we discussed up top?  Well, FNM is the lowest 
						on the rung for K-value events.  It's only 8K.  That's 
						why it's a good place to play and practice.  You don't 
						risk gaining or losing more than eight points per 
						match.  And for the average player, that loss or gain is 
						likely going to be in the range of two to four points.  
						However, the MINIMUM that any other tournament is 
						sanctioned at is 16K.  So if you want to work your 
						rating, a good suggestion is to keep attending those FNM 
						events, but also attend another event AT LEAST every 
						other week.  I also think that non-FNM events is the 
						best way to test how good you are as well.  You will be 
						competing against more dedicated players and proven 
						decks usually.   
						Well, I hope this gives you all the information you need 
						on figuring out the usefulness of your rating.  It can 
						be a lot to absorb.  Just remember, knowledge is power.  
						I know that locally I plan to so some events that are 
						only open to players of 1700 rating or higher for some 
						big prizes.  So maybe that's something other stores or 
						judges should organize for fun.  It will also encourage 
						players to work harder.  But now I'm just musing and 
						rambling. 
						Until next time, 
						DeQuan Watson 
						a.k.a. PowrDragn 
						at Pojo dot com | |||
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